Marco Follini’s point of view for Adnkronos
“In the space of a handful of days the political climate has suddenly changed and almost – almost – turned upside down. It seemed that the majority had the wind in their sails, and today they appear to be in difficulty. We were thinking about the infinite critical issues of the centre-left and today On the other hand, the spotlights point to a large number of problems on the opposite side. We were betting on a calm legislature and now we are announcing a moderate turbulence around Palazzo Chigi. Trends that can be overturned again, of course. But which require at least one fine-tuning, if not a more profound correction of the course followed thus far.
Giorgia Meloni is encountering two great difficulties that the news of these days has highlighted. One is the underground dispute with Salvini’s League. The other is the confrontation in the open field with the judiciary.
The Northern League leader apparently innocently proposed a pact between all the centre-right parties to go to the European elections together. Apparently, a friendly resolution. In fact, a subtle but crucial dividing factor. In fact, it is evident that neither Fdi nor Forza Italia can conduct that electoral campaign under the same banner, allying themselves with the French Le Pen and with the Germans of the AfD, sworn enemies of the EPP. If Meloni embarked on this tour company, it would be impossible for her to continue on that path of accreditation in Europe which matters that she has undertaken, between ups and downs, in these first few months.
It is obvious that Salvini is having a hard time imagining the renewal of Von Der Leyen’s mandate, given that the overthrow of the Italian political balance matured precisely on that choice five years ago. Then the famous Ursula majority was born, which sanctioned the marginalization of the League, relegated to a minority space on the right of Franco-German-led Europe. In that context Meloni intends to change things, it is true. But don’t flip them. At least by risking those ties that he has done his best to renew up to now. Therefore, it is evident that the scattered order of the parties of the Italian majority on the European front is the condition for continuing its journey.
It is an almost inexorable conflict. It can be minimized, diplomatized, circumscribed. But it will not be possible to get off the rails that ensure Italy and its government valuable accreditation. Which should lead Meloni and Salvini to manage their dispute without letting it explode.
The other difficulty, revealed by even more recent reports, lies in the conflict that has arisen with the judiciary. A conflict that the latest cases -Santanchè, Dalmastro, not to mention La Russa- had brought to light. But to which the harsh note of Palazzo Chigi in recent days has given an unexpected acceleration. To the point of proposing arguments and suspicions that seem to give new life to Berlusconi’s old campaign against the “red robes” and their political offshoots.
On this front Meloni can count on the greater homogeneity of his line-up. But she ends up finding herself isolated in a larger context. Whereas a recently born government supported by a broad consensus is expected to be induced to deploy a less ideological and less partisan approach.
It will be said that this too is a legacy from Berlusconi. But perhaps the very failure of that policy of head-on confrontation with the judiciary should suggest a softer approach to Palazzo Chigi. Aimed at making incisive and perhaps even controversial reforms. However, without adding that extra (gratuitous) political controversy that ends up alienating the objectives that one would like to pursue.
Here lies the real crossroads of this political season. Among a majority that withdraws into itself, however risking internal conflict. And a majority that looks beyond its borders, trying with effort and patience to broaden the spectrum of its consents. In both cases, some turbulence is to be expected. Confirming the fact that in politics, and in the life of governments, the honeymoon never lasts too long.”
(by Marco Follini)