Government, Follini: “Meloni’s fate on justice, federalism or presidentialism”

Marco Follini’s point of view for Adnkronos

“Giorgia Meloni will play fate on justice, or on federalism, or on presidentialism. Not on all three, a challenge that would be titanic and risky. Nor on the economy and immigration, where the choices are almost obligatory and no longer differ much from those that would make governments of other political affiliations.It will instead be on one of the big dossiers that has just been opened and distributed that the new right will try to leave its mark.

Now, it is evident that each of these dossiers involves a high risk. In matters of justice we have just seen the barricades of the opposition and the judiciary rise at the mere announcement of Minister Nordio’s warlike intentions. After all, the subject has been more than controversial for years (to use an understatement), and even Berlusconi has preferred small and very sad ad hoc measures to the risk of an open challenge on great principles. Those principles which in the new minister’s broad-spectrum vision range from the separation of careers to the reform of wiretapping up to the end of the mandatory nature of criminal prosecution. In a word, more a revolution than a reform.

With regard to federalism, modestly renamed differentiated autonomy, things don’t seem much easier. In fact, there is a lack of money to make everyone happy, the governors of the north who demand more resources and those of the south who are afraid of losing them. Moreover, the lep have not yet been defined, i.e. the essential levels of performance, those decisive parameters of rights and possibilities that are connected to the launch of this reckless innovation. And therefore it is easy to predict that the path will be slower and above all less nonchalant than the willing minister Calderoli imagines it.

Finally, on presidentialism, Meloni will wave his flag of principle. But it is obvious that deciding to really take that path would mean setting oneself up for an open battle with the opposition, and for a more implicit and hidden but perhaps no less disruptive collision course with the Quirinale of our days. It is possible that the premier is trying to open a way. Possible, but unlikely. Highly unlikely.

Thus, each of these dossiers threatens to make the government’s navigation much more bumpy. And there are good reasons to advise some caution on all these fronts. But it is equally clear that without a “major” reform the majority would in the long run be forced into low-profile navigation, in the midst of economic difficulties that do not seem destined to raise morale. As if to say that if he takes risks, he risks too much. But if he renounces all risks, he risks by default. And even the latter would not be a risk to be underestimated.

Thus, it is easy that at a certain point in the legislature Meloni decides to bet his chips on one of these projects to make sense of his government action. And it is probable that Nordio’s will end up being the least prohibitive. And because it is a theme that does not divide the majority too much internally. And because it allows it to leverage a small but not very small part of the opposition. Lastly, and because it is possible that it will meet with consensus from public opinion no less convinced than the very convinced disagreements that have not been slow to manifest themselves in these first few days.

Of course, at that point it would also be a question of Meloni updating herself and one of her atavistic, ancestral right-wing ideas. Where residual traces remain of a justicialism that animated the noisy squares of the MSI at the end of the first republic. Topics and moods that the prime minister has not had time to ride too conspicuously but that every now and then seem to resurface from the mists of a not so distant past to the point that she has completely forgotten about them.

Either way, the eye of the needle is going to be very, very narrow.”

(from Marco Follini)