Iran, what stage is the nuclear program at and what are the risks

THE IRANIAN NUCLEAR

• What is the situation regarding the Iranian development of the atomic bomb? And what is the story of the Iranian nuclear power? The episode of “Numeri” dealt with this theme Sky TG24which aired on November 3

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HISTORY

• To take stock of the situation you need to go back to 2015, when he had found un Iranian nuclear deal for which Iran had to reduce the atomic program and sanctions were abolished. But in 2018, Trump pulled the US out of the agreementae Tehran has resumed intensifying its nuclear program. As of now, in 2023, the agreement has not yet been re-established by the Biden administration and Iran is increasing its uranium enrichment capacity

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THE LATEST ESTIMATES

• Iran is therefore now at least closer to having the material to make the atomic bomb. For example, it would have 114 kg of uranium enriched to 60% (further enrichment would be needed). Also to be considered is the fact that assembling the bomb would still take a long time

The full episode of Numbers

IRAN’S STRATEGY

• However, one must keep in mind that there are conflicting signals from Iran on how far the program is really progressing. What is known is that the country is increasingly putting its laboratories underground, safe from possible missiles, to build the material needed for the bomb.

US ESTIMATES

• American intelligence However, this summer, he stated that “Iran is not currently undertaking the atomic weapons development activities that would be necessary to produce a test-capable device.”

FRAGILE EQUILIBRIUMS IN THE AREA

• If Iran ever gets a nuclear weapon, it would be a huge upheaval for the balance of the region. Moreover, the Saudi crown prince, Mohammed Bin Salman, has already said (in September): “If Iran has a nuclear weapon, Saudi Arabia will do one too”

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