Ukraine, Kiev: “Putin no longer controls the situation. Russia on the brink of civil war”

According to Zelensky “the Kremlin leader’s chain of command is falling apart, he receives only positive information”

President Vladimir Putin no longer controls the situation and Russia is on the brink of civil war. This is what Kiev claims through the words of the Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky and the head of the Ukrainian military intelligence, Kyrilo Budanov.

According to Zelensky in an interview with CNN, the Kremlin leader’s chain of command is coming apart and Putin is by now not well informed about what is happening at the front: “He receives only positive information”.

“Putin doesn’t control the situation in the regions, he doesn’t control the security situation. We understood that his army is practically all in Ukraine. And that’s why Wagner moved so easily,” says Zelensky, referring to the uprising of 24 June, when Evgeny Prigozhin’s mercenaries marched towards Moscow, stopping 200 km from the capital.

According to the Ukrainian president, Putin doesn’t even have the pulse of the situation at the front, because “he commands the top management and they are afraid of losing their jobs. But at the middle and lower levels he is not in control and does not understand what is happening”.

“Sometimes we see it clearly: he talks about places that are supposedly under the Russian flag, but are under our control. This indicates that is not fully and adequately informed. They only give him positive informationdoesn’t want to hear bad things,” Zelensky continues, noting that the international community should take advantage of Putin’s weakness to put pressure on him.

For his part, the head of the Gur Kyrilo Budanov believes that Russia “is on the brink of civil war”. An analysis, he explains in an interview with the Times, which is based on a confidential study conducted by the Russian Interior Ministry (MVD) on the levels of popular support during the Wagner uprising.

Carried out with spyware techniques, which monitored the web and social networks including encrypted chats on June 24 and 25, the MVD study showed that Prigozhin enjoyed popular support in 17 of the 46 Russian regions. Putin had the support of 21 regions and the rest were divided in half. On this basis, the Gur believes that in those days Putin could count on the loyalty of Moscow, but not of St. Petersburg, the city where both he and Prigozhin were born. The peak of support for Prigozhin, 97%, was reached in the Russian Caucasian republic of Dagestan.

Budanov believes that these data are more significant than those from the polling center Levada, which paints a picture with Putin standing firm and Prigozhin falling in support. And this is because the Levada survey was made when the uprising had already failed. “The situation indicates exactly what our services are talking about: that the Russian Federation is on the verge of a civil war. There will have to be a small internal affair and the internal conflict will escalate,” he says. Putin’s fall, he stresses, will in any case be good for Kiev, because no one in Russia will want to continue the war in Ukraine. When they watch TV, Russians are ready to support the conflict, but not if they have to personally go to fight, he remarked.