Poletti describes a city that breathes a sigh of relief at the departure of the first merchant ship loaded with corn, but says he is convinced that war is decided on the battlefield and that negotiations will be held only when the Russians no longer benefit.
The city of Odessa experienced “ with relief after days of waiting ” the departure this morning of the Razoni ship with a load of 26 thousand tons of corn bound for Lebanon, the first as part of the agreement reached in Istanbul last 22 July . But this “will have no influence on the peace negotiations”. Ugo Poletti, editor of the online English-language newspaper ‘The Odessa Journal, is convinced of this, and explains to Adnkronos that’ ‘in the last two days Odessa has suffered fewer missile attacks and if the corridor works it is not a guarantee, but it is a good news”. From here to see in the wheat agreement a beginning for a negotiated peace passes us.
“I don’t think there can be a direct connection with a negotiation start,” he explains to Adnkronos. ” I believe very little ” in the thesis that ‘now that you have managed to talk to each other around a table, who knows maybe tomorrow you will start negotiating more serious things’ “, he continues. first test of a process of which no predictions can be made ”, for Poletti ” the war will be decided on the battlefield: the Russians have military objectives and ambitions, until these ambitions decrease, until militarily It will come to an advantage for the Russians, only then will the negotiations begin. ”
Author of the essay ‘In the heart of Odessa’ published by Rizzoli, Poletti recalls that what allowed the unblocking of grain from Ukrainian ports is ” a fixed term treaty ” and ” what will happen in these 120 days will be seen ”. While waiting for other merchant ships to go out to sea, Poletti, who has lived and worked in Odessa since 2017, underlines the fact that “ there are many shipowners and ship owners, who are calculating how much insurance costs and how much in the end, it is the profit of such an expensive and risky expedition, it is not certain that they will take advantage of this opportunity ”. At the moment ” there are 16 ships that are loading and are ready to take to the sea, but about 85 are closed in the ports and it is not certain that all will take advantage of this risky opportunity ”. It is “a question of cost-benefits because today it costs less for a ship to load the same grain in Russia than to leave from a Ukrainian port”.
At the same time, however, Poletti cites the grain diplomacy undertaken by Moscow. ” It is convenient for the Russians to leave some cargoes from Ukraine because this earns them credit from a diplomatic point of view ”, explains the Milanese businessman, citing ” the intense and decisive diplomatic activity that the Russians are doing in all of North Africa to have from these countries a possible vote in the UN headquarters in the event that there were delicate votes ”. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei himself ” Lavrov was in Egypt a few days ago and after this visit, understandably Egypt canceled an important trade agreement with Ukraine ”, he recalls, underlining that ” Russian diplomacy is working to take advantage also of this lever of the ships leaving the Ukrainian ports ”.