War in Ukraine, so mud and rain hold back Kiev’s counter-offensive

While the war in Ukraine continues, between Ukrainian infiltration operations and Russian bombings, on the clash the announced counter-offensive in Kiev continues to hover. And while Moscow’s troops are preparing defensive lines and fortifications, the Ukrainian attack has been expected for weeks now it doesn’t seem to have started yet

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Among the causes of this apparent delay there is one often little mentioned, but crucial for the fate of the clash: the weather situation. The rains in fact – reports the New York Times – have been much more intense than usual and they filled large parts of central Ukraine by muddy ground

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The head of the private military company had also said that bad weather could be behind the difficulties of the Ukrainian army WagnerYevgeny Prigozhin (in the picture). Indeed, according to Prigozhin, the counter-offensive will start after the rain has stopped, to allow heavy vehicles to advance, which they are currently blocked by mud

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“The least rain is expected on May 2. Then it will take another week for the soil to dry. Then the Ukrainian forces will be ready to move,” the head of the private military company Wagner said a few days ago in an audio posted on Telegram

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And now the Ukrainians on the field are also saying it: according to what was reconstructed by New York Times, although the troops are armed and ready, the mud on the ground prevents great manoeuvres. “Until the weather improves, there will be no counteroffensive”, a lieutenant told the American newspaper

The insight of the New York Times

“It was a unusual spring, there has never been so much rain”, said another soldier in the field. Ukraine is waiting for the expected warm weather in the second half of spring solidify the muddy groundso as to make it stable enough to allow tanks and gunners to move more easily

The passage of time, however, is giving to possibility for the Russians to prepare more and more to support the attack Ukrainian. Satellite images analyzed by the media in recent days show trenches and fortifications prepared by Moscow’s soldiers

Between most fortified areas are the Zaporizhzhia region – half under the control of Moscow and which could be the main theater of the counter-offensive – and the stretch of land connecting Crimea with mainland Ukraine. There you can see ditches, barricades, zig-zag trenches, minefields, barbed wire and camouflaged vehicle emplacements

The moment of the attack, however, it may be imminent: the raid of the last few days against a Sevastopol oil depot, in Crimea, may have been a dress rehearsal before the warmer phase sets in. The goal of the Ukrainian troops is to undermine the logistics of the enemy to make defense more difficult

The Russians, however, do not stop their bombing campaign: after Uman, where the attacks have massacred civilians and childrenthe cities of Kramatorsk and Konstantinovka in the Donetsk region were targeted at the end of April, where private homes, infrastructure and even the industrial area were hit

Ukraine, Russian missile on residential building in Uman: at least 23 dead. PHOTO