Who is elected to the House and the Senate? Here’s who can do it

YouTrend data: Di Maio has a ‘medium’ chance of being elected. All smooth for the big names in the Senate

The election of Enrico Letta and Giorgia Meloni to the Chamber in the 2022 policies of 25 September is substantially certainlike that of Giuseppe Conte. Luigi Di Maio has a ‘medium’ chance of being elected. In the Senate, Silvio Berlusconi will hit the target without problems like Matteo Salvini. Excellent chances for Matteo Renzi, Claudio Lotito and Ilaria Cucchi, all at the high end. Immediately behind, in the grid, Carlo Calenda.

YouTrend has calculated the probability of elections to the House and Senate of individual candidates in the 2022 political elections on 25 September.

Chamber and Senate, who will be elected? Here’s Who Can Do It – The List

The data are calculated on 250 simulations of the election results – for each branch of the Parliament – according to the respective bands (100% -80% = high, 80% -60% = medium-high, 60% -40% = medium, 40 % -20% = medium low, 20% -0% low).

To the Chamber, Nicola Zingaretti and Giulio Tremonti appear in the high-end, such as Giancarlo Giorgetti, Carlo Nordio and Fabio Rampelli. Similar speech for Chiara Appendino, Federico Mollicone, Giancarlo Rotondi, Rita Dalla Chiesa.

In the ‘medium-high’ section there are the names of Mara Carfagna, Benedetto Della Vedova, Ettore Rosato. In the mid-range Luigi Marattin and Davide Faraone. A step below, in the lower-middle section, Valentina Vezzali and Lucia Azzolina. It promises to be an uphill race for Alessia Morani.

In the Senate, Emma Bonino is in the mid-range of the grid. For Monica Cirinnà and Vittorio Sgarbi, the probability is medium-low.

The simulations take into account the mechanism for reallocating candidates if they are elected in more than one constituency, for this reason the possible constituencies of election of the candidates are not indicated. The list does not include aspiring parliamentarians who have an estimated probability of election of less than 0.4%.